My season-long project of focusing on what football games I’d bet if I were in Las Vegas and had $1,000 to bankroll the entire season is off to a rocky start. I’ve had a losing week each time out and that bankroll’s already down to $743.50. I’m going to try a new strategy this week. The past two weeks I’ve loaded up on a few big plays and lost. Now it’s hard enough to pick a winner against the spread, but I think I’ve made the job even tougher, but then trying to further narrow it down and decide which winners are best. So today it’s different. The $100 I would bet on a weekly basis is diffused among every game on the board I liked. There are 14 picks total, so I’m going $7 a game on each. Here they are…
Virginia Tech/Clemson (Under 51)
Northwestern (+270) Illinois…this is a moneyline upset pick.
Washington (+8.5) Utah
Florida (+4) Alabama
Wake Forest (+2.5) Boston College
Georgia Tech (-10) N.C. State
UConn (-3) Western Michigan
Arkansas (+2.5) Texas A&M
Auburn (+10) South Carolina
Carolina (+240) Chicago…this is a moneyline upset pick.
New Orleans (-7) Jacksonville
Houston (-4) Pittsburgh
Kansas City (+2) Minnesota
Green Bay (-12.5) Denver
“…the house always wins. Play long enough, you never change the stakes, the house takes you. Unless, when that perfect hand comes along, you bet big, and then you take the house.”
–-Danny Ocean, Oceans Eleven
"We're the only winners. The players don't stand a chance. And their cash flows from the tables to our boxes…This is the end result of all the bright lights and the comped trips, of all the champagne and free hotel suites, and all the broads and all the booze. It's all been arranged just for us to get your money. That's the truth about Las Vegas."
–Ace Rothstein, Las Vegas bookmaker